Dell
Plan expired Latest rating：Hold
Entry zone
500.1 – 524.6
Breakout · as of 2026-09-03
Stop
482.6
initial distance -8.0%
Full size
9.4%
in tranches 40% / 30% / 30%
Support / resistance
463.6 / 614.4
ATR(14) 32.66
CloseEntry zoneStop
Triggers
- CancelledFirst tranche: price enters the entry zone3.8%@ 524.6
- ArmedAdd 1: pullback holds support (confirmed at close, executed next open)2.8%@ 471.8
- FrozenAdd 2: breakout above resistance on volume, held 2 days2.8%@ 614.4
- CancelledStop: sell everything below this price@ 482.6
Timeline
- Plan cancelled · Plan expired
- Rating change · Buy → Hold
- Rating change · Hold → Buy
- Rating change · Buy → Hold
- Rating change · Hold → Buy
- Rating change · Buy → Hold
- Entered pool@ 516.4
Rating historyChinese only
- Hold候补区间 500.06–524.55 已远远上穿，目标空间仅 5%，不追；已持有者以 SMA20（约 529）为持有底线
- Hold池内候补（入场 500.06–524.55 / 止损 482.59），评级不变；现价已超出入场区间 7%，目标价均值仅剩 2.6% 空间，前瞻 PE 19 倍但毛利率只有 19.9%——持有不追
- Hold在池候补，今日 +5.01% 但目标空间已压缩到 5.4%、机构 3 月净减 5.2%、股价高于 200 日线 99%，追价风险显著大于错过风险
- Hold目标价空间收窄到 10.7%、机构 3 个月减持 5.2%，候补区 500.06–524.55 上方的仓位不新增；止损 482.59
- Hold目标价空间收窄到 8%，Morgan Stanley 仅 Equal-Weight，单日 -4.6% 是获利盘出清而非基本面变化；不加仓
- Hold下调——现价已贴近共识目标价（空间 3%）且较入场区间（500–525）高约 10%，机构近 3 个月净减持
- BuyAI 服务器 ODM 直接受益
- Hold（详见模块十一）订单 > 收入是好事也是坏事——现金回收慢于订单；等 Q3 现金流验证
- Buy积压订单能见度全行业最高
- Hold现金流真实，估值合理，回调可留
- BuyAI 服务器链条里唯一同时有正盈利、正资金流、正股价的标的
- Buy低估值 AI 硬件敞口
Earlier rounds
| In | Out | Entry | P&L | R | Exit reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-19 | 404.8 | +10.8% | 1.35 | Trailing stop |
Paper portfolio executed mechanically from published rules. Not real trades, not investment advice.