Rocket Lab
Downgraded, plan cancelled Latest rating：Watch
Entry zone
62.25 – 67.29
Wait for pullback · as of 2026-10-01
Stop
61.91
initial distance -8.0%
Full size
9.4%
in tranches 40% / 30% / 30%
Support / resistance
62.25 / 77.8
ATR(14) 3.93
CloseEntry zoneStop
Triggers
- CancelledFirst tranche: price enters the entry zone3.8%@ 67.29
- ArmedAdd 1: pullback holds support (confirmed at close, executed next open)2.8%@ 63.23
- FrozenAdd 2: breakout above resistance on volume, held 2 days2.8%@ 77.8
- CancelledStop: sell everything below this price@ 61.91
Timeline
- Plan cancelled · Downgraded, plan cancelled
- Rating change · Hold → Watch
- Rating change · Buy → Hold
- Entered pool@ 70.46
Rating historyChinese only
- WatchElectron 的高频发射是真实收入，但 P/S 56 定价的是 Neutron；内部人 6 个月净卖出 31.8% 与 Neutron 时间表不确定叠加，等 Q4 贮箱交付或首飞日期确认
- HoldFalcon 9 退役是中型发射的结构性利好，目标空间 49%；但 P/S 58 + 内部人减持 32% + 仍在 SMA200 下方，等 Neutron 首飞排期明确再升级
- Hold订单最强，但 P/S 57 倍且内部人减持 31.8%，等待 Neutron 首飞时点再加仓
- Hold合同是真催化剂，但执行期在 2028 年之后、P/S 57 且内部人大幅减持；等站回 SMA200 或 Neutron 首飞时间明确再升级
- Hold订单是实的，但 57 倍市销率加上内部人半年减持近三分之一，不支持新开仓；Neutron 首飞时间本次未检索到 [待验证]
- BuyCiti 首评 + 创纪录积压同日出现，是「发射需求」子命题的订单级验证；P/S 57 要求小仓，止损 62 [自定义]
- Buy10-01 当天花旗首次覆盖给 Buy/105，58.3% 目标价空间，发射节奏是太空链里最可验证的现金流指标；内部人半年减持 31% 需警惕，仓位控制在太空格总额的三分之一以内
Earlier rounds
| In | Out | Entry | P&L | R | Exit reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-19 | 74.48 | +5.1% | 0.64 | Trailing stop |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | 63.91 | -8.2% | -1.02 | Stop loss |
Paper portfolio executed mechanically from published rules. Not real trades, not investment advice.